April 17, 2021

March 24 COVID-19 Update: Cumulative Cases in Lyme Up One to 94, Old Lyme’s Hold at 303

Transmission electron microscopic image of an isolate from the first U.S. case of COVID-19. Photo courtesy of the CDC.

LYME/OLD LYME — The Daily Data Report for Connecticut issued Wednesday, March 24, by the Connecticut Department of Public Health (CT-DPH) for data as at 8:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 23, shows that cumulative cases (confirmed and probable) since the pandemic began were UNCHANGED in Old Lyme at 303 but INCREASED BY ONE in Lyme to 94 when compared with the numbers reported Tuesday, March 23.

It should be noted that Monday reports always include data for the previous three days because reports are not issued on Saturdays or Sundays. The reporting period is 24 hours for all the other days reports are issued (Tuesday through Friday.)

The next CT DPH Daily Data Report for Connecticut will be issued in the afternoon of Thursday, March 25.

Old Lyme – No Change in Cumulative Cases

The report shows that Old Lyme has a cumulative total (since the outbreak began) of 296 confirmed COVID-19 cases and SEVEN probable casesmaking a TOTAL of 303 cases.

This represents no change in the cumulative number of confirmed or probable cases compared with those reported Tuesday, March 23.

The total number of Old Lyme residents tested is 4,888, an increase of eight  over the number of 4,886 reported Monday.

Lyme – Cumulative Cases Up One

Lyme has a cumulative total (since the outbreak began) of 86 confirmed cases and 8 probable cases, making a TOTAL of 94 cases.

This represents an INCREASE of ONE in the cumulative number of confirmed cases and NO CHANGE  in the cumulative number of probable cases compared with those reported Monday, March 22.

The total number of Lyme residents tested is 1,317, an increase of one over Monday’s number of 1,316.

Old Lyme Moves Back into Orange (Second Highest) Zone for Two-Week New Case Rate, Lyme Drops to Gray (Lowest) Zone

The report issued Tuesday, March 23, by the Connecticut Department of Public Health (CT DPH) for the average daily rate of new cases of COVID-19 by town during the past two weeks contains good news for Lyme but bad news for Old Lyme.

This report is issued daily, but only updated weekly on Thursdays. The most recent report was updated Thursday, March 11; the next updated report will be issued in the afternoon of Thursday, March 25.

It shows that Old Lyme has moved back into the Orange (second highest) Zone for two-week new case rates, but Lyme has fallen into the Gray (lowest) Zone.

Last week, Old Lyme was in the (second lowest) Yellow Zone and so this change reflects an increased two-week case rate over the previous week. In contrast, Lyme was in the ‘Red Zone’ — the category with the highest rate of new cases — last week and has now dropped to the lowest. (Four zones are specified by the CT DPH — see details below)

Overall, the report contains mixed news for the whole state with the number of towns in the Gray and Yellow Zone decreasing this week (the previous week’s figures are shown in parentheses), but the Orange Zone shows an increase:

  • 22 (25) towns are now in the (lowest case rate) Gray Zone
  • 9 (11) are in the (lowest but one) Yellow Zone
  • 33 (30) are in the (second highest case rate) Orange Zone.

All the remaining towns are in the Red Zone, but this still represents an obvious improvement from the map published in November when every town in the state was in the Red Zone. The numbers are concerning however, in that the trend appears to be that cases are not continuing to decrease at this point.

Lyme joins 21 other towns in the Gray (lowest rate)  Zone including Ashford, Bozrah, Bridgewater, Canaan, Chaplin, Colebrook, Cornwall, Eastford, Franklin, Goshen, Hampton, Hartland, Kent, New Canaan, North Stonington, Norfolk, Pomfret, Scotland, Union, Voluntown, and Warren.

The Yellow (second lowest rate) Zone includes Barkamsted, Colchester, East Windsor, Essex, Lisbon, Portland, Simsbury, Somers and Willington.

  • The gray category is defined as when the Average Daily Rate of COVID-19 Cases Among Persons Living in Community Settings per 100,000 Population By Town is less than five or less than five reported cases.
  • The yellow category is defined as when the Average Daily Rate of COVID-19 Cases Among Persons Living in Community Settings per 100,000 Population By Town is between five and nine reported cases.
  • The orange category is defined as when the Average Daily Rate of COVID-19 Cases Among Persons Living in Community Settings per 100,000 Population By Town is between 10 and 14.
  • The red category is defined as when the Average Daily Rate of COVID-19 Cases Among Persons Living in Community Settings per 100,000 Population By Town exceeds 15.

In all cases, this rate does not include cases or tests among residents of nursing home, assisted living, or correctional facilities.

This report is issued daily, but only updated weekly on Thursdays. The most recent report was updated yesterday, Thursday, March 11; the next updated report will be issued in the afternoon of Thursday, March 25.

More Detail on Two-Week Case Rates

LLHD Director of Health Stephen Mansfield

On Thursday, March 18, Ledge Light Health District (LLHD) also issued their latest weekly report of COVID data for the municipalities within their District. Ledge Light Director of Health Stephen Mansfield prefaces the report with the comment, “We continue to see relatively steady case numbers within our jurisdiction.”

He stresses, however, “Although we are making great strides with our COVID vaccination program, it is still imperative that we remain diligent in our mitigation strategies.”

The latest two-week case rates announced Thursday, March 18, for the period 2/28 to 3/13 per 100,000 population (compared with the previous two-week case rate for 2/21 to 3/06) have increased in Old Lyme and decreased in Lyme.

The two-week case rates are as follows:

  • Old Lyme from 6.8 to 13.6
  • Lyme from 18.3 to 9.2

The same report shows that the case numbers in Week 1 and Week 2 respectively and recorded for the period 2/28 to 3/13  (compared with the previous two-week case rate for 2/21 to 3/06 shown in parentheses) are as follows:

  • Lyme had(3) cases in Week 1 and(3) in Week 2
  • Old Lyme had (2) cases in Week 1 and (5) in Week 2

This data was updated March 18, 2021. The next Ledge Light Weekly Data Report for its District will be issued in the afternoon of Thursday, March 25.

Vaccination Rates

At the request of several readers, we have started a new section reflecting the status of community vaccination rates in Lyme and Old Lyme. The data is taken from the COVID-19 Vaccinations by Town report published by CT-DPH, which is published roughly weekly.

Old Lyme is ahead of Lyme in terms of the percentage of its total population that have received a first dose, with 42.02 percent vaccinated compared with 34.59 percent in Lyme. The percentages for both towns for the age segments 65-74 and 75+ are very encouraging with Old Lyme now having 100.38 percent of seniors 75 and above having received their first dose and 75.18 percent of the same age segment having received it in Lyme. Editor’s Note: We are skeptical of these figures for Lyme since they show the numbers vaccinated decreasing compared with last week. We are investigating further.

The detailed data below is the most recent and was updated March 15.

Old Lyme
Total population:  7,306
Estimated population age 65-74:  1,067
Estimated population age 75 and above:  794

DateTotal pop. 1st dose given1st dose given as % of total pop. 1st dose given age 65-741st dose given as % of age 65-74 pop. 1st dose given age 75 & above1st dose given as % of age 75 & above pop.
3/12,11528.95%83578%73092%
3/82,62635,94%94588.57%76496.22%
3/153,07042.02%1,02796.25%797100.38%
3/243,24144.36%99893.53%75394.84%
3/313,55348.63%1,00193.81%75595.09%
4/74,17057.08%1,078101.08%76396.1%
4/154,80665.78%1,104103.47%77597.61%

Lyme
Total population:  2,316
Estimated population age 65-74:  372
Estimated population age 75 and above:  274

DateTotal pop. 1st dose gven1st dose given as % of total population 1st dose given age 65-741st dose given as % of age 65-74 pop.1st dose given age 75 & above1st dose given as a % of age 75 & above pop.
3/160526.12%24466%22281%
3/876733.12%28175.54%22983.58%
3/1580134.59%26972.31%20675.18%
3/241,13549.01%36297.31%279101.82%
3/311,25954.36%372100.00%289105.47%
4/71,51065.2%414111.29%295107.66%
4/151,73975.09%430115.59%298108.76%

Three Fatalities in Old Lyme Since Pandemic Began, None in Lyme

According to the report mentioned above, there have now been THREE fatalities in Old Lyme. Asked Tuesday, Feb. 9, for details of this third fatality, Ledge Light Health Department Director of Health Stephen Mansfield responded, “We have not been notified of any recent deaths in Old Lyme. Keep in mind that that report is compiled by the Connecticut Department of Public Health; deaths are not reportable to local health districts.”

He added, “I can’t speak for their data sources.”

The two fatalities from Old Lyme previously reported in 2020 were a 61-year-old female and an 82-year-old male.

No fatalities have been reported in Lyme.

Connecticut Hospital Occupancy

At the request of several readers, we are adding a new report today showing the respective rates of hospital occupancy at local hospitals. The data for this report is obtained from the Connecticut Hospital Occupancy Report published weekly by the CT DPH and extracted from the United States Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) facility-level data for hospital utilization aggregated on a weekly basis (Friday to Thursday).

Hospital Name% Adult In-patient Occupancy % Adult ICU Occupancy
Data from 1/8 - 1/14
Backus84.424.2
Lawrence & Memorial90.891.4
Middlesex78.289.9
Yale-New Haven87.982.6
Statewide80.860.9
Data from 1/15 - 1/21
Backus83.224.2
Lawrence & Memorial84.090.7
Middlesex83.388.7
Yale-New Haven91.487.9
Statewide79.960.8
Data from1/22 - 1/29
Backus66.10.0
Lawrence & Memorial90.690.0
Middlesex77.286.3
Yale-New Haven84.425.8
Statewide81.262.3
Data from1/29 - 2/5
Backus8622
Lawrence & Memorial8893
Middlesex6661
Yale-New Haven9189
Statewide79.360.7
Data from 2/1 - 2/11
Backus83.822.2
L & M87.687.9
Middlesex68.881.5
Yale-New Haven91.788.3
Statewide80.261.0
Data from 2/12 - 2/18
Backus79.122.4
L & M84.182.1
Middlesex74.488.1
Yale-New Haven90.883.6
Statewide77.959.8

Editor’s Note: The state issues a COVID-19 metric report daily around 4 p.m. Monday through Friday, which includes current data up to the previous evening. In light of the ongoing rise in Coronavirus cases, we publish a new weekday update reporting confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases in Lyme and Old Lyme. 

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